New ALPHA

Historical Signal Backtesting

Replay any date range through the WHaiLE conviction engine. Every signal that fired, graded Big Win → Win → Flat → Loss against real price action. The data shows the work.

Showing sample preview

By signal family

— · —
Signal Thesis N Hit rate Median peak Avg peak BW · W · F · L Best

Audit trail · individual fires

—
Time Signal Token Entry Peak Δ% Verdict

Methodology

  • Entry price: median derived price within ±2 hours of the signal (≥2 qualifying swaps, each ≥$500). Median is robust to dirty rows.
  • Outcome: peak derived price in the 7 days after the signal, capped at 11× entry to reject unit-mismatch outliers.
  • Verdicts: Big Win >+10% · Win >+5% · Flat ±5% · Loss <-5%. Same thresholds as the live whale-picks grader.
  • Bearish thesis signals (EXIT_PREDICTION, CEX_TOKEN_INFLOW, DRAWDOWN) are sign-inverted so a positive peak change means the bearish thesis worked.

Backtest data is informational only. Past performance does not predict future results. Deep Blue Alpha provides on-chain intelligence, not financial advice.

Track whale wallets in real-time → On-chain intelligence suite → Whale Picks scoreboard → WHaiLE™ AI → Daily Ethereum whale reports →
Not financial advice. All data is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any asset. Past on-chain activity is not indicative of future results. Cryptocurrency trading involves substantial risk of loss. Full Disclaimer